9
Amazing Award
6yo Gelding · 8-9 · Draw 6
Happy Valley · Fat Tseung Handicap · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: BHA50
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Sha Tin | BHA50 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Happy Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Happy Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-25 | Happy Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-01 | Sha Tin | BHA52 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-11 | Sha Tin | BHA54 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 5-10 · tight 69/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength42%
Delivery trend -3.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 73% | +0.57 |
| 26/11/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 64% | +0.37 |
| 23/12/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |
| 11/01/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 01/02/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 25/02/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 91% | +0.28 |
| 11/03/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 73% | -0.13 |
| 08/04/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 73% | +0.20 |
| 26/04/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 69% | +0.43 |