7
Mission Giant
5yo Gelding · 9-1 · Draw 9
Happy Valley · Fat Tseung Handicap · 1m
#12
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.8 /10 (raw 9.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Happy Valley | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Sha Tin | BHA59 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Happy Valley | 3 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Sha Tin | BHA63 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Happy Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Happy Valley | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 5-12 · tight 56/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength18%
Delivery trend -0.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/2026 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/04/2026 | 4th | 80/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 03/05/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 10/06/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/07/2026 | 14th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/09/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |