10
Precision Hope
5yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 2
Happy Valley · Fat Tseung Handicap · 1m
#9
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength30%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Happy Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Happy Valley | BHA49 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Happy Valley | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Happy Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Happy Valley | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Happy Valley | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 2-8 · tight 64/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength63%
Delivery trend -6.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/12/2025 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 11/01/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 01/03/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 25/03/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 36% | -0.16 |
| 08/04/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 27% | +0.11 |
| 13/05/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 73% | +0.25 |
| 10/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 89% | +0.01 |
| 08/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |
| 09/09/2026 | 4th | 13/8 | 91% | 67% | -0.25 |