12
Prestige Ricky
5yo Gelding · 8-6 · Draw 4
Happy Valley · Fat Tseung Handicap · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength32%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class: BHA47
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Happy Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Sha Tin | BHA47 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Happy Valley | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Sha Tin | BHA51 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Sha Tin | BHA52 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-11 | Happy Valley | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength90%
Delivery trend +3.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/12/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 64% | +0.11 |
| 23/12/2025 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 27% | -0.25 |
| 07/01/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 82% | +0.13 |
| 11/02/2026 | 11th | 5/1 | 74% | 9% | -0.65 |
| 19/04/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 85% | +0.43 |
| 17/05/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 62% | +0.46 |
| 27/05/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 55% | -0.22 |
| 13/06/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 54% | +0.06 |
| 15/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 82% | +0.34 |