2
Sky Deep
5yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 1
Happy Valley · Fat Tseung Handicap · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength30%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: BHA52
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Happy Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Happy Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Sha Tin | BHA58 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Sha Tin | BHA58 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Sha Tin | BHA58 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-03-23 | Sha Tin | BHA53 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 52/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength70%
Delivery trend -5.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/12/2024 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 73% | -0.01 |
| 05/01/2025 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 31/01/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 92% | +0.11 |
| 23/03/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 07/06/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 55% | -0.17 |
| 13/06/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 92% | +0.45 |
| 21/06/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 69% | -0.19 |
| 15/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 91% | +0.12 |
| 09/09/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 70% | -0.12 |