3
Sturdy Ruby
7yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 8
Happy Valley · Fat Tseung Handicap · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Happy Valley | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Happy Valley | BHA48 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Happy Valley | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Happy Valley | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Sha Tin | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Sha Tin | BHA64 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 8-12 · tight 74/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength13%
Delivery trend -7.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/12/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 21/01/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 14/02/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 15/03/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 01/04/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 13/05/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 36% | +0.10 |
| 10/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 91% | +0.49 |
| 08/07/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 43% | -0.23 |
| 09/09/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 22% | -0.15 |