8
Georgian Sigma
4yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 7
Happy Valley · The Chinese General Chamber Of Commerce Cup (Handicap) · 5f
#2
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Happy Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-09 | Happy Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-24 | Happy Valley | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Happy Valley | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Happy Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Sha Tin | BHA53 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 66/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength83%
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 92% | +0.34 |
| 15/11/2025 | 4th | 4/6 | 96% | 77% | -0.20 |
| 29/03/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 85% | +0.24 |
| 20/05/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 82% | -0.08 |
| 03/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 82% | +0.03 |
| 24/06/2026 | 7th | 11/4 | 86% | 45% | -0.40 |
| 09/09/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 82% | +0.19 |
| 23/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 91% | +0.15 |