5
Vigor Eye
5yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 2
Happy Valley · The Chinese General Chamber Of Commerce Cup (Handicap) · 5f
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | Happy Valley | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Happy Valley | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Happy Valley | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Happy Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Sha Tin | BHA49 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Sha Tin | BHA51 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 4-13 · tight 50/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength28%
Delivery trend -0.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/12/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 82% | -0.05 |
| 27/12/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 77% | +0.19 |
| 18/01/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 85% | -0.02 |
| 14/02/2026 | 9th | 3/1 | 84% | 27% | -0.57 |
| 29/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 92% | +0.29 |
| 22/04/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 13/05/2026 | 12th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 03/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 82% | +0.40 |
| 08/07/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 18% | -0.19 |