8
Happy United
7yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 5
Happy Valley · Cheung Fat Handicap · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Happy Valley | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Happy Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Happy Valley | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Happy Valley | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Happy Valley | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Happy Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 4-12 · tight 59/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength44%
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/02/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 64% | +0.11 |
| 04/03/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 18/03/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 08/04/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |
| 22/04/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 55% | +0.49 |
| 20/05/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 36% | +0.10 |
| 10/06/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 45% | +0.30 |
| 08/07/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 23/09/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |