1
Healthy Healthy
7yo Gelding · 9-9 · Draw 11
Happy Valley · Cheung Fat Handicap · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
85%
Place Prob
63%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | Sha Tin | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Happy Valley | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Sha Tin | BHA54 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Happy Valley | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Happy Valley | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Happy Valley | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 6-13 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength36%
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/12/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 82% | +0.56 |
| 17/12/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 91% | +0.12 |
| 27/12/2025 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 22/04/2026 | 8th | 17/2 | 55% | 36% | -0.19 |
| 13/05/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 03/06/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 04/07/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 15/07/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 45% | +0.19 |
| 01/10/2026 | 14th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |