6
King Oberon
7yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 9
Happy Valley · Cheung Fat Handicap · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: BHA39
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Happy Valley | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Happy Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Happy Valley | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Happy Valley | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Happy Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Sha Tin | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1492% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 73/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength91%
Delivery trend +8.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/12/2025 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 45% | -0.26 |
| 01/01/2026 | 13th | 11/1 | 42% | 8% | -0.34 |
| 18/03/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 01/04/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 22/04/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 13/05/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 10/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 82% | +0.40 |
| 08/07/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 64% | +0.08 |
| 09/09/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |