12
Majestic Delight
5yo Gelding · 8-5 · Draw 10
Happy Valley · Cheung Fat Handicap · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: BHA32
Recent avg: C4.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Happy Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-06 | Sha Tin | BHA42 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Happy Valley | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Happy Valley | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Happy Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Sha Tin | BHA38 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 3-11 · tight 59/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength54%
Delivery trend +5.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 06/04/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 62% | -0.23 |
| 03/05/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 77% | +0.30 |
| 17/05/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 64% | +0.08 |
| 20/05/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 73% | +0.57 |
| 03/06/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 08/07/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 06/09/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 23/09/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |