9
No Other Choice
5yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 1
Happy Valley · Cheung Fat Handicap · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
9/5
Win Prob
14%
Place Prob
26%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength30%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class: BHA36
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Happy Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Sha Tin | BHA36 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Sha Tin | BHA37 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Sha Tin | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Sha Tin | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Sha Tin | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-13 · tight 34/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength84%
Delivery trend -3.8% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10/2025 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 27/12/2025 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 31% | -0.06 |
| 04/01/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 64% | +0.06 |
| 08/03/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 80% | +0.38 |
| 01/04/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 64% | -0.07 |
| 06/05/2026 | 9th | 11/4 | 86% | 27% | -0.58 |
| 17/05/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 82% | +0.16 |
| 27/06/2026 | 14th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 09/09/2026 | 1st | 40/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |