14
Star Figure
5yo Gelding · 8-5
Happy Valley · Cheung Fat Handicap · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Happy Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Happy Valley | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Sha Tin | BHA47 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Sha Tin | BHA46 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Happy Valley | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Sha Tin | BHA50 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength90%
Delivery trend +8.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/2025 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 64% | -0.25 |
| 07/12/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 82% | +0.11 |
| 27/12/2025 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 46% | -0.17 |
| 08/02/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 62% | -0.17 |
| 08/04/2026 | 10th | 18/1 | 5% | 18% | +0.13 |
| 26/04/2026 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 17/05/2026 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 38% | -0.27 |
| 03/06/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 24/06/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 82% | +0.56 |