4
Lucky Planet
7yo Gelding · 9-3 · Draw 3
Happy Valley · Yip Fat Handicap · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: BHA42
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | Sha Tin | BHA75 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Happy Valley | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Happy Valley | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Happy Valley | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-11 | Happy Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-28 | Happy Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 9-14 · tight 73/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -7.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/2025 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 23/12/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 82% | +0.29 |
| 14/01/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 28/01/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 91% | +0.33 |
| 11/02/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 04/03/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 44% | -0.24 |
| 18/03/2026 | 12th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 15/04/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 13/06/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |