6

Power Koepp

8yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 11

Happy Valley · Yip Fat Handicap · 6f

#9

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Happy Valley 11/02/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 13011/02C?C0 @ Happy Valley 04/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 6f Goo 129C0 @ Happy Valley 18/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 12518/03C?C0 @ Happy Valley 08/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 126BHA65 @ Sha Tin 19/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 65 · 6f Gd 115 · below its mark19/04/2026 · OR 65 par19/0465OR 653 @ Happy Valley 03/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 6f GF 120C0 @ Happy Valley 08/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 1258/07C?C0 @ Happy Valley 09/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 126C0 @ Happy Valley 23/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 6f Gd 12723/09C?projClass-projected finish: 10th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-23Happy Valley?8th8th0
2026-09-09Happy Valley?5th5th0
2026-07-08Happy Valley?4th4th0
2026-06-03Happy Valley31st1st0
2026-04-19Sha TinBHA656th6th0
2026-04-08Happy Valley?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/028/048/0723/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1423% of fieldRange 3-10 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength56%

Delivery trend +3.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/02/202611th20/10%9%+0.09
04/03/20263rd16/116%78%+0.62
18/03/20264th12/137%73%+0.36
08/04/20266th17/255%55%-0.01
19/04/20266th25/10%38%+0.38
03/06/20261st11/142%100%+0.58
08/07/20264th25/10%73%+0.73
09/09/20265th16/116%64%+0.48
23/09/20268th25/10%36%+0.36