7
Savvy Brilliant
6yo Gelding · 8-9 · Draw 10
Happy Valley · Yip Fat Handicap · 6f
#12
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class: BHA64
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Sha Tin | BHA68 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Sha Tin | BHA72 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Sha Tin | BHA72 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Sha Tin | BHA73 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Sha Tin | BHA73 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-01 | Sha Tin | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 3-14 · tight 42/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength27%
Delivery trend +2.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07/2025 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 64% | +0.58 |
| 19/10/2025 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 14/12/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 58% | +0.00 |
| 01/01/2026 | 14th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 26/04/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 17/05/2026 | 9th | 7/1 | 63% | 27% | -0.36 |
| 31/05/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 46% | +0.41 |
| 04/07/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 62% | +0.09 |
| 13/09/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 69% | +0.64 |