9
Audacious Pursuit
5yo Gelding · 8-6 · Draw 8
Happy Valley · Hing Fat Handicap · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
35%
Place Prob
27%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 | Happy Valley | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Happy Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Sha Tin | BHA59 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Sha Tin | BHA59 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Sha Tin | BHA58 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-11 | Sha Tin | BHA58 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 8-14 · tight 68/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength5%
Delivery trend -7.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/2025 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 92% | +0.37 |
| 30/11/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 20/12/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 69% | +0.11 |
| 11/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 92% | +0.16 |
| 14/02/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 92% | +0.00 |
| 01/03/2026 | 13th | 10/3 | 82% | 8% | -0.75 |
| 09/05/2026 | 9th | 5/1 | 74% | 38% | -0.35 |
| 27/05/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 10/06/2026 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 45% | -0.39 |