7
Legend Winner
5yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 10
Happy Valley · Hing Fat Handicap · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | Happy Valley | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Happy Valley | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Happy Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Sha Tin | BHA61 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Sha Tin | BHA63 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Sha Tin | BHA65 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 8-14 · tight 68/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -4.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/01/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 85% | +0.37 |
| 11/01/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 46% | -0.06 |
| 14/02/2026 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 22/03/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 12/04/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 27% | +0.22 |
| 09/05/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 27/05/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 82% | +0.56 |
| 10/06/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 24/06/2026 | 11th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |