2
Pope Cody
5yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 2
Happy Valley · Hing Fat Handicap · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
23%
Place Prob
22%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Happy Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Happy Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Sha Tin | BHA73 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Sha Tin | BHA74 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Sha Tin | BHA76 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Sha Tin | BHA76 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1492% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength89%
Delivery trend -3.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 85% | +0.29 |
| 08/02/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 69% | +0.32 |
| 01/03/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 22/03/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 03/05/2026 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 20% | -0.46 |
| 24/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 85% | +0.32 |
| 13/06/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 58% | -0.05 |
| 08/07/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 91% | +0.30 |
| 16/09/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |