3
Prestige Good
6yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 6
Happy Valley · Hing Fat Handicap · 1m
#9
Rank
Odds
17/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: BHA62
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Sha Tin | BHA75 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Sha Tin | BHA77 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-08 | Sha Tin | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Sha Tin | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-01-25 | Sha Tin | BHA76 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-11 | Sha Tin | BHA76 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 6-14 · tight 59/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength21%
Delivery trend -10.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 23/11/2025 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 14/12/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 11/01/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 69% | +0.32 |
| 25/01/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 89% | +0.07 |
| 19/02/2026 | 10th | 7/1 | 63% | 31% | -0.32 |
| 08/03/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 44% | -0.24 |
| 12/04/2026 | 11th | 11/1 | 42% | 9% | -0.33 |
| 03/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |