11
Uranus Star
5yo Gelding · 8-5 · Draw 3
Happy Valley · Hing Fat Handicap · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Sha Tin | BHA65 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Sha Tin | BHA67 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Sha Tin | BHA69 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Sha Tin | BHA69 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Sha Tin | BHA68 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-25 | Happy Valley | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1423% of fieldRange 1-14 · tight 24/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength42%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/12/2025 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 23% | +0.18 |
| 11/01/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 04/02/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 82% | +0.56 |
| 25/02/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 36% | -0.43 |
| 29/03/2026 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 19/04/2026 | 12th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 17/05/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 54% | -0.04 |
| 31/05/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 21/06/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |