1
Aurio
6yo Gelding · 9-9 · Draw 7
Happy Valley · Yip Fat Handicap · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
11/5
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Happy Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Happy Valley | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Happy Valley | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Happy Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Happy Valley | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Happy Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 76/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▲
Strength99%
Delivery trend +2.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/2026 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 92% | -0.01 |
| 19/02/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 01/03/2026 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 70% | -0.22 |
| 18/03/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 22/04/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 91% | +0.07 |
| 13/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 82% | -0.09 |
| 10/06/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 64% | +0.16 |
| 08/07/2026 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 45% | -0.39 |
| 09/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 82% | +0.40 |