3
Gustosisimo
6yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 12
Happy Valley · Yip Fat Handicap · 6f
#10
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: BHA70
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Sha Tin | BHA75 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Sha Tin | BHA79 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Sha Tin | BHA80 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Sha Tin | BHA80 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Sha Tin | BHA85 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Happy Valley | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 11-14 · tight 80/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 70% | -0.01 |
| 14/02/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 01/03/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 70% | +0.02 |
| 18/03/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 09/05/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 24/05/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 85% | +0.58 |
| 07/06/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 73% | -0.09 |
| 27/06/2026 | 10th | 7/2 | 82% | 31% | -0.51 |
| 06/09/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |