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5

Thunder Kit

5yo Gelding · 9-1 · Draw 8

Happy Valley · Yip Fat Handicap · 6f

#11

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength2%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: BHA63
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA64 @ Sha Tin 01/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 64 · 5f Gd 119 · beat its mark01/02/2026 · OR 64 par1/0264OR 64C0 @ Sha Tin 19/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 6f Gd 122BHA64 @ Sha Tin 15/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 64 · 6f GF 119 · beat its mark15/03/2026 · OR 64 par15/0364OR 64BHA63 @ Sha Tin 26/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 63 · 6f GF 119 · beat its mark26/04/2026 · OR 63 parBHA64 @ Sha Tin 17/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 64 · 6f Goo 124 · beat its mark17/05/2026 · OR 64 par17/0564OR 64BHA70 @ Sha Tin 07/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR 70 · 7f Gd 130 · below its mark07/06/2026 · OR 70 parBHA70 @ Sha Tin 27/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 70 · 6f Gd 126 · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 70 par27/0670OR 70C0 @ Happy Valley 15/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 6f Goo 129BHA70 @ Sha Tin 13/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 70 · 6f GF 127 · below its mark13/09/2026 · OR 70 par13/0970OR 70projClass-projected finish: 7th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Sha TinBHA708th8th0
2026-07-15Happy Valley?3rd3rd0
2026-06-27Sha TinBHA703rd3rd0
2026-06-07Sha TinBHA7011th11th0
2026-05-17Sha TinBHA641st1st0
2026-04-26Sha TinBHA632nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0226/0427/0613/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1423% of fieldRange 6-14 · tight 59/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength18%

Delivery trend -3.6% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 11th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/02/20265th10/147%64%+0.16
19/02/20263rd10/147%85%+0.37
15/03/20264th13/266%73%+0.07
26/04/20262nd5/174%92%+0.19
17/05/20261st2/189%100%+0.11
07/06/202611th6/168%23%-0.45
27/06/20263rd16/116%85%+0.69
15/07/20263rd7/282%82%+0.00
13/09/20268th11/271%46%-0.25