8
Bozaano
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 8 · OR 77
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength40%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-15 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-12-08 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-10-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 4-7 · tight 72/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength37%
Delivery trend +4.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06/2025 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 86% | -0.08 |
| 08/09/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 40% | -0.44 |
| 01/10/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |
| 29/10/2025 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 88% | -0.05 |
| 08/12/2025 | 3rd | 5/6 | 96% | 71% | -0.24 |
| 15/01/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 03/04/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 16/05/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 08/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |