1
Do Ya Wanna Dance
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 1 · OR 84
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
43%
Place Prob
37%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 72/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength77%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 13/08/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 23/09/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 14/10/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 43% | -0.18 |
| 16/06/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 57% | -0.25 |
| 11/07/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 04/08/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 45% | -0.26 |
| 26/08/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 11/09/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |