Ice Express
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 6 · OR 78
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-06-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
| 2026-05-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 6th | +3 |
| 2026-05-01 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-04-08 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.2% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 12/11/2025 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 14/01/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 44% | -0.08 |
| 08/04/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 25% | -0.46 |
| 01/05/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 13/05/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 04/06/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/06/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 29/07/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |