Me And Chili
7yo Gelding · 8-7 · Draw 2 · OR 83
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 1 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-06-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-05-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03/2026 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 07/04/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 29/04/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 14/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 04/06/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 25/06/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 16/07/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 11/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 25/08/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |