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2

Ap Miss Lunas Tide

5yo Mare · 9-2 · Draw 2 · OR 86

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 10 - Hoosier Park Classic Stakes · 1f 180y

#5

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength15%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 03/06/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 78 · 1f130y Fas 128 · below its mark03/06/2025 · OR 78 par3/06C5OR 78C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 04/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 79 · 1f130y Fas 128 · below its mark04/07/2025 · OR 79 parBHA78 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 07/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 78 · 1f180y Fas 128 · below its mark07/08/2025 · OR 78 par7/0878OR 78C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 18/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 78 · 1f130y 128 · beat its mark18/09/2025 · OR 78 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 77 · 1f180y Slo 128 · below its mark08/10/2025 · OR 77 par8/10C5OR 77C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 25/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 76 · 2f 128 · below its mark25/10/2025 · OR 76 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 06/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 81 · 1f130y Gd 128 · beat its mark06/05/2026 · OR 81 par6/05C5OR 81C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 04/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 80 · 1f130y 128 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 80 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 06/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 83 · 1f180y Fas 128 · beat its mark06/08/2026 · OR 83 par6/08C5OR 83projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-06Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st1st0
2026-07-04Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0
2026-05-06Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd4th−1
2025-10-25Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th7th0
2025-10-08Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th5th0
2025-09-18Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0618/096/056/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 84/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +8.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/06/20256th12/137%44%+0.08
04/07/20256th15/261%17%-0.44
07/08/20252nd16/116%89%+0.73
18/09/20251st12/137%100%+0.63
08/10/20255th14/126%0%-0.26
25/10/20257th20/10%14%+0.14
06/05/20263rd20/10%78%+0.78
04/07/20262nd10/147%88%+0.40
06/08/20261st16/116%100%+0.84