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6

I'm Game

3yo Filly · 8-6 · Draw 6 · OR 90

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 3 - Allowance · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

6/5

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

100%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Churchill Downs 13/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 6f 11813/06C6C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 28/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 77 · 6f Gd 121 · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 77 par28/07C6OR 77C5 @ Ellis Park 21/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 82 · 6f Fas 120 · beat its mark21/08/2026 · OR 82 par21/08C5OR 82C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 16/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 89 · 6f 118 · beat its mark16/09/2026 · OR 89 par16/09C5OR 89projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-16Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0
2026-08-21Ellis Park?2nd2nd0
2026-07-28Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st2nd−1
2026-06-13Churchill Downs?8th9th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0628/0721/0816/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 53/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%

Delivery trend -1.0% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/06/20268th14/126%36%+0.10
28/07/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
21/08/20262nd25/10%86%+0.86
16/09/20262nd2/598%80%-0.18