Canyon Streak
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 2 · OR 98
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-07-11 | Lone Star | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-06-19 | Canterbury Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 09/10/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 90% | +0.01 |
| 31/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |
| 19/06/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 11/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 19/07/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 06/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 22/08/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 10/09/2026 | 8th | 3/1 | 84% | 13% | -0.72 |