7
Personal Creed
4yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 7 · OR 88
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | Turfway Park | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-02-21 | Turfway Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-13 | Turfway Park | ? | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2026-01-22 | Turfway Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-10-02 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-08-28 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 50/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength91%
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 18/05/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 12/08/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 28/08/2025 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 02/10/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 90% | +0.29 |
| 22/01/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 71% | +0.03 |
| 13/02/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 21/02/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 19/03/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |