Purdy Darn Good
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 10 · OR 87
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-20 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-15 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-18 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-02-08 | Turfway Park | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/05/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 70% | +0.44 |
| 04/06/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 17/01/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |
| 08/02/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |
| 22/04/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 18/06/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 83% | -0.09 |
| 15/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 20/08/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 08/09/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |