Quokka
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 6 · OR 94
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#9
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Ellis Park | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-04-29 | Churchill Downs | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-03-25 | Turfway Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Turfway Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-08 | Turfway Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Turfway Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +6.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 29% | -0.40 |
| 25/09/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 16/10/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 26/12/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 08/02/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 63% | +0.02 |
| 19/02/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 25/03/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 29/04/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 26/07/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 14% | -0.02 |