Shankar

6yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 4 · OR 97

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 4 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKED

Move▬

Strength34%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.2)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.2

Today:

Class gap: +0.3

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-10	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	1st	1st	0	9.0
2026-08-22	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	6th	6th	0	4.0
2026-07-30	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	2nd	0th	+2	9.8
2026-07-14	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	3rd	1st	+2	8.8
2026-06-09	Horseshoe Indianapolis	?	1st	1st	0	9.0
2026-03-18	Turfway Park	?	5th	6th	−1	3.8

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 57/100

▬ RUNS TO FORM

Trend▲

Strength95%

Delivery trend +4.2% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
16/01/2026	2nd	8/1	58%	90%	+0.32
08/02/2026	6th	5/2	87%	38%	-0.49
06/03/2026	6th	7/2	82%	17%	-0.65
18/03/2026	5th	5/2	87%	20%	-0.67
09/06/2026	1st	12/1	37%	100%	+0.63
14/07/2026	3rd	5/1	74%	71%	-0.02
30/07/2026	2nd	13/8	91%	86%	-0.06
22/08/2026	6th	7/2	82%	44%	-0.37
10/09/2026	1st	15/2	61%	100%	+0.39