Artella
4yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 3 · OR 79
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 5.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Ellis Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2026-05-26 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-03-27 | Turfway Park | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/2025 | 10th | 7/1 | 63% | 18% | -0.45 |
| 27/03/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 26/05/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 27% | -0.10 |
| 18/06/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 19/07/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 13/08/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 63% | -0.03 |
| 03/09/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |