6

Pickle Shoes

4yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 6 · OR 72

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

6%

Place Prob

19%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength14%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Churchill Downs 09/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 6f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS9/11C6C9 @ Turfway Park 11/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 52 · 6f Fas 122 · below its mark11/12/2025 · OR 52 parC9 @ Turfway Park 22/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 52 · 6f110y 122 · beat its mark22/01/2026 · OR 52 par22/01C9OR 52C9 @ Turfway Park 14/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 56 · 1m 126 · beat its mark14/02/2026 · OR 56 parC9 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 07/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 58 · 6f 124 · beat its mark07/04/2026 · OR 58 par7/04C9OR 58C7 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 22/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 63 · 6f Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/04/2026 · OR 63 parC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 20/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 69 · 6f 122 · below its mark20/05/2026 · OR 69 par20/05C8OR 69C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 09/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 70 · 6f Fas 122 · beat its mark09/06/2026 · OR 70 parC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 21/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 71 · 6f 122 · below its mark21/09/2026 · OR 71 par21/09C8OR 71projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-21Horseshoe Indianapolis?4th4th0
2026-06-09Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st1st0
2026-05-20Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0
2026-04-22Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd1st+1
2026-04-07Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st2nd−1
2026-02-14Turfway Park?4th5th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/1114/0220/0521/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 72/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength87%

Delivery trend +4.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/11/20258th5/174%13%-0.61
11/12/20259th11/271%20%-0.51
22/01/20264th15/261%73%+0.12
14/02/20264th4/179%67%-0.12
07/04/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
22/04/20262nd4/179%67%-0.12
20/05/20262nd8/1196%75%-0.21
09/06/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
21/09/20264th9/276%50%-0.26