6

Pickle Shoes
4yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 6 · OR 72
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
19%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-04-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-14 | Turfway Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 72/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength87%
Delivery trend +4.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/11/2025 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 13% | -0.61 |
| 11/12/2025 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 20% | -0.51 |
| 22/01/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 73% | +0.12 |
| 14/02/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 07/04/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 22/04/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 20/05/2026 | 2nd | 8/11 | 96% | 75% | -0.21 |
| 09/06/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 21/09/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |