Pulstar
3yo Filly · 8-6 · Draw 1 · OR 87
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Ellis Park | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-07-10 | Ellis Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Churchill Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-01-08 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/2025 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 88% | -0.03 |
| 12/07/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 27/07/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 29% | -0.45 |
| 08/01/2026 | 8th | 3/1 | 84% | 22% | -0.62 |
| 03/04/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 17% | -0.68 |
| 15/05/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |
| 17/06/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 75% | -0.15 |
| 10/07/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 08/08/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |