5
Silvertown
3yo Filly · 8-6 · Draw 5 · OR 76
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 5 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength5%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | Ellis Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Ellis Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-29 | Churchill Downs | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-04-30 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-03 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-03-19 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 72/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength80%
Delivery trend +2.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/12/2025 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 11% | -0.15 |
| 03/01/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |
| 21/02/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 82% | +0.00 |
| 19/03/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 71% | -0.13 |
| 03/04/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 73% | +0.46 |
| 30/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 29/05/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 56% | -0.08 |
| 09/07/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 31/07/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |