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10

Jerri Jo

2yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 10 · OR 73

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m

#6

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Ellis Park 06/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 5f110y 1196/07C6C6 @ Ellis Park 23/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 76 · 1m Fas 119 · beat its mark23/08/2026 · OR 76 par23/08C6OR 76C6 @ Churchill Downs 13/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 81 · 1m 119 · below its mark13/09/2026 · OR 81 par13/09C6OR 81projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Churchill Downs?6th6th0
2026-08-23Ellis Park?2nd2nd0
2026-07-06Ellis Park?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0723/0813/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1586% of fieldRange 1-15 · tight 20/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength58%

Delivery trend -15.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/07/20266th12/137%50%+0.13
23/08/20262nd12/137%91%+0.54
13/09/20266th6/168%50%-0.18