13
Practical Patsy
2yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 13 · OR 60
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
9%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Ellis Park | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1593% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +96.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 07/09/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 91% | +0.28 |