Cut Glass
8yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 2 · OR 87
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
15%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | Delaware Park | ? | +1 | ||
| 2026-07-18 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-30 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-24 | Laurel Park | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/02/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 86% | +0.17 |
| 27/02/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 14/03/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 11/04/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 20% | -0.41 |
| 24/04/2026 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 10/05/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 30/05/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 07/06/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 18/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 67% | -0.16 |