El Dandi
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 5 · OR 85
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-08-17 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | -2th | +3 |
| 2026-07-21 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-07-09 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-06-22 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -9.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 21/08/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 15/09/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 30/09/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 22/06/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 09/07/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 20% | -0.38 |
| 21/07/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 17/08/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 17/09/2026 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |