4

Rocket Hoss

6yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 4 · OR 90

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f

#1

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

18%

Place Prob

18%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength35%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Turfway Park 05/01/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 98 · 6f Fas 120 · below its mark05/01/2025 · OR 98 par5/01C8OR 98C8 @ Turfway Park 31/01/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 97 · 5f110y Fas 120 · below its mark31/01/2025 · OR 97 parC7 @ Ellis Park 09/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 90 · 6f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/08/2025 · OR 90 par9/08C7OR 90C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 08/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 92 · 5f Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/09/2025 · OR 92 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 30/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 90 · 5f110y 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/09/2025 · OR 90 par30/09C5OR 90C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 90 · 6f 122 · below its mark11/06/2026 · OR 90 parC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 04/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR 83 · 6f 122 · below its mark04/08/2026 · OR 83 par4/08C8OR 83C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 26/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 90 · 6f Fas 122 · below its mark26/08/2026 · OR 90 parC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 15/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 89 · 6f Fas 122 · beat its mark15/09/2026 · OR 89 par15/09C8OR 89projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st1st0
2026-08-26Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd2nd0
2026-08-04Horseshoe Indianapolis?10th10th0
2026-06-11Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th7th0
2025-09-30Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd-1th+3
2025-09-08Horseshoe Indianapolis?8th6th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/018/094/0815/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 3-9 · tight 52/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength40%

Delivery trend -3.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/01/20257th14/126%33%+0.07
31/01/20254th10/147%57%+0.10
09/08/20254th33/10%40%+0.40
08/09/20258th33/10%13%+0.13
30/09/20252nd9/276%75%-0.01
11/06/20267th4/179%14%-0.65
04/08/202610th12/137%18%-0.19
26/08/20262nd7/282%67%-0.15
15/09/20261st9/276%100%+0.24