1
Skyler
6yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 1 · OR 87
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 67/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength79%
Delivery trend -4.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/12/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 13/02/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 22/02/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 13/03/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 04/04/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 19/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 71% | +0.08 |
| 30/04/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 90% | +0.53 |
| 04/08/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 20/08/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 71% | -0.18 |