Sound Doctrine
6yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 6 · OR 85
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 7 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-02 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-29 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/05/2025 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 31/05/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 70% | +0.54 |
| 17/06/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 14/08/2025 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 0% | -0.88 |
| 29/04/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 02/06/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 17/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 16/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 03/09/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 13% | -0.53 |