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5

Ap Im That Dove

3yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 5 · OR 67

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Sterlie Bertram Memorial Stakes · 1f 180y

#7

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▲1
Strength8%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 6.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: -1.4
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 26/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 51 · 1f80y 124 · below its mark26/08/2025 · OR 51 par26/08C8OR 51C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 07/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 55 · 1f30y 126 · below its mark07/04/2026 · OR 55 parC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 01/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 59 · 1f80y 126 · beat its mark01/05/2026 · OR 59 par1/05C8OR 59C8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 21/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 59 · 1f130y 126 · beat its mark21/05/2026 · OR 59 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 61 · 1f130y 126 · below its mark11/06/2026 · OR 61 par11/06C5OR 61BHA64 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 30/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 64 · 1f180y 126 · below its mark30/06/2026 · OR 64 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 04/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 63 · 1f130y 126 · beat its mark04/08/2026 · OR 63 par4/08C5OR 63C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 24/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 61 · 1f110y 126 · beat its mark24/08/2026 · OR 61 parBHA64 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 14/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 64 · 1f180y 126 · below its mark14/09/2026 · OR 64 par14/0964OR 64projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Horseshoe IndianapolisBHA648th10th−2
2026-08-24Horseshoe Indianapolis?3rd4th−1
2026-08-04Horseshoe Indianapolis?9th9th0
2026-06-30Horseshoe IndianapolisBHA645th7th−2
2026-06-11Horseshoe Indianapolis?9th10th−1
2026-05-21Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st5th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0821/054/0814/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 6-11 · tight 67/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength19%

Delivery trend -0.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/08/20257th16/116%33%+0.18
07/04/20268th33/10%0%0.00
01/05/20263rd20/10%78%+0.78
21/05/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
11/06/20269th20/10%0%0.00
30/06/20265th16/116%33%+0.18
04/08/20269th33/10%11%+0.11
24/08/20263rd16/116%71%+0.56
14/09/20268th40/10%0%0.00