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3

Heza Classy Cowboy

3yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 3 · OR 73

Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Sterlie Bertram Memorial Stakes · 1f 180y

#1

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

84%

Place Prob

59%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength20%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 3.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA68 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 26/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 68 · 1f130y Fas 124 · below its mark26/06/2025 · OR 68 par26/0668OR 68C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 30/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 64 · 1f130y Fas 124 · beat its mark30/07/2025 · OR 64 parBHA67 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 25/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 67 · 1f130y 124 · beat its mark25/08/2025 · OR 67 par25/0867OR 67C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 11/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 66 · 1f130y 124 · beat its mark11/09/2025 · OR 66 parBHA73 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 25/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 73 · 1f180y 124 · below its mark25/10/2025 · OR 73 par25/1073OR 73BHA73 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 30/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 73 · 1f180y 126 · beat its mark30/06/2026 · OR 73 parC5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 04/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 61 · 1f130y 126 · beat its mark04/08/2026 · OR 61 par4/08C5OR 61C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 01/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 62 · 1f130y 126 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 62 parBHA64 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 14/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 64 · 1f180y 126 · beat its mark14/09/2026 · OR 64 par14/0964OR 64projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Horseshoe IndianapolisBHA641st3rd−2
2026-09-01Horseshoe Indianapolis?1st2nd−1
2026-08-04Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th5th0
2026-06-30Horseshoe IndianapolisBHA731st4th−3
2025-10-25Horseshoe IndianapolisBHA736th9th−3
2025-09-11Horseshoe Indianapolis?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0611/094/0814/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 82/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +6.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/06/20255th9/276%56%-0.21
30/07/20254th15/261%40%-0.21
25/08/20251st4/596%100%+0.04
11/09/20257th5/174%25%-0.49
25/10/20256th16/116%44%+0.29
30/06/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
04/08/20265th16/116%56%+0.40
01/09/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
14/09/20261st9/488%100%+0.12