8
Rock N The Beach
3yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 8 · OR 84
Horseshoe Indianapolis · Race 9 - Sterlie Bertram Memorial Stakes · 1f 180y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 1.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: -3.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | BHA81 | 2nd | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-06-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | BHA84 | 2nd | 7th | −4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | BHA84 | 2nd | 7th | −4 |
| 2025-10-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | BHA85 | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2025-08-26 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2025-05-13 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 3rd | 7th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 74/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength91%
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 78% | +0.04 |
| 26/08/2025 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 25/10/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 14/05/2026 | 2nd | 8/11 | 96% | 86% | -0.10 |
| 30/06/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 86% | -0.06 |
| 14/09/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 86% | +0.23 |